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USA Today

So, on the court action last night was a non-factor on the bracket today, Monmouth, Yale and Akron all won. The big news came yesterday when Louisville announced self-imposed penalties which included a ban on post season play this year. This is huge news for the bubble teams as this now gives us two potential top 5 seeds who won't be playing - SMU is the other. I feel bad for the kids on that team who were having a solid season. What bugs me about the whole thing is that it's even THAT big of a story. The coaches involved should have sanctions against them, but I have got to believe that things similar to this go on at many schools during recruiting trips. Jalen Rose even said as much when this story broke - during his recruiting trips, if he didn't get "hooked up" so to speak, he marked that school off the list. What 18 year old doesn't want attention, and more, from pretty young ladies, or young men if that's their way of life? So now the bracket has changed quite a bit - Louisville was a 5-seed for me, so 1 team from each line moved up, and LSU moves in by the thinnest of margins over Wisconsin, at least for me. A weak bubble just got weaker. This decision impacts so many teams. Since the tournament expanded to 68 teams, the bubble has been somewhat weak, and this year is no different. I'm sorry if your team didn't move up.

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DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its Ratings Percentage Index in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball.

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 02/06/2016 04:35 AM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East-Philadelphia Midwest - Chicago South - Louisville West - Anaheim
1 Xavier 20-2   Kansas 17-4   Oklahoma 19-2   Iowa 18-4  
2 North Carolina 19-3   Villanova 19-3   Virginia 18-4   Oregon 19-4  
3 West Virginia 18-4   Maryland 20-3   Michigan State 19-4   Iowa State 16-6  
4 Texas A&M 18-4   Miami 18-4   Utah 17-6   Texas 15-7
5 Duke 16-6   Purdue 19-4   Dayton 18-3 USC 18-5  
6 Pittsburgh 17-4   Indiana 19-4 Kentucky 16-6   Providence 18-5  
7 Florida 15-7   Arizona 18-5   Baylor 18-5   Virginia Commonwealth 17-5
8 Michigan 17-6 Connecticut 16-6   Wichita State 17-5   Colorado 17-6  
9 Washington 15-7 South Carolina 19-3   Notre Dame 15-7   Syracuse 16-8  
10 Oregon State 13-8   Valparaiso 19-4   Monmouth 19-5 California 14-8  
11 Saint Mary's 18-3   Clemson 14-8   Florida State 15-7   Gonzaga 18-5
12 Chattanooga 20-3   Seton Hall 16-6/LSU 14-8   Vanderbilt 13-9/Cincinnati 17-6   San Diego State 17-6  
13 Arkansas-Little Rock 19-2   Akron 19-4   Stony Brook 18-4   California-Irvine 18-6  
14 North Carolina-Wilmington 17-5   Alabama-Birmingham 19-4   Belmont 17-7   South Dakota State 18-5  
15 Yale 14-5   Stephen F. Austin 15-5   New Mexico State 15-8   Weber State 16-6  
16 Fairleigh Dickinson 11-10/Texas Southern 10-11 North Florida 18-7   Bucknell 12-10/Hampton 13-8   North Carolina-Ashville 16-8  
                 
Last 4 in - Cincinnati, Seton Hall, Vanderbilt, LSU  
First 4 out - Wisconsin, UCLA, St. Joseph's, Texas Tech  
Others considered for at-large bids (no particular order) - Butler, George Washington, Alabama, Stanford, Arizona State, Georgia Tech, Tulsa, Kansas St., Boise State, North Carolina State, Creighton, Davidson, Georgia, Northwestern, BYU, Ohio State, Georgetown, Marquette, Temple, Saint Bonaventure, Middle Tennessee State  
Moving in - LSU  
Moving out - Louisville  
No longer considered for at-large bid - UNLV, Louisiana Tech, Georgia State, Illinois, Northern Iowa, Texas-Arlington, Penn State, Richmond, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Mississippi, Auburn, Memphis, Wake Forest, Southern Illinois, Virginia Tech, Arkansas, Evansville  
Multi bid conferences - ACC (9), PAC 12 (8), Big 10 (6), Big 12 (6), SEC (6), Big East (4), A-10 (2), AAC (2), WCC (2)  
Leaders or highest RPI from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total)Stony Brook (America East), North Florida (Atlantic Sun), Weber State (Big Sky), North Carolina-Ashville (Big South), California-Irvine (Big West), North Carolina-Wilmington (CAA), Alabama-Birmingham (CUSA), Valparaiso (Horizon), Yale (Ivy), Monmouth (MAAC), Akron (Mid-American), Hampton (MEAC), San Diego State (MWC), Wichita State (MVC), Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Bucknell (Patriot), Chattanooga (Southern), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), South Dakota State (Summit), Arkansas-Little Rock (Sun Belt), Texas Southern (SWAC), New Mexico State (WAC)  
Banned from participating - Alcorn State (SWAC), Florida A&M (MEAC), Stetson (Atlantic Sun) Central Arkansas (Southland), SMU (AAC), Southern Mississippi (C-USA), Pacific (WCC), Cal-State Northridge (Big West), Missouri (SEC), Louisville (ACC)  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Abilene Christian (Southland), Grand Canyon (WAC), Incarnate Word (Southland), Massachusetts-Lowell (American East), Northern Kentucky (Horizon)  
Teams in Blue are IN the tournament.
Teams in Black are LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest RPI chosen for now) 
Teams in Red are on the bubble or have work left to do

 


Bracket

East - Philadelphia     Midwest - Chicago  
NYC   Des Moines
1 Xavier 20-2     1 Kansas 17-4  
16 Fairleigh Dickinson 11-10/Texas Southern 10-11     16 North Florida 18-7  
8 Michigan 17-6   8 Connecticut 16-6  
9 Washington 15-7   9 South Carolina 19-3  
OKC   Denver
5 Duke 16-6     5 Purdue 19-4  
12 Chattanooga 20-3     12 Seton Hall 16-6/LSU 14-8  
13 Arkansas-Little Rock 19-2     13 Akron 19-4  
4 Texas A&M 18-4     4 Miami 18-4  
Providence   Providence
3 West Virginia 18-4     3 Maryland 20-3  
14 North Carolina-Wilmington 17-5     14 Alabama-Birmingham 19-4  
6 Pittsburgh 17-4     6 Indiana 19-4
11 Saint Mary's 18-3     11 Clemson 14-8  
Raleigh   NYC
10 Oregon State 13-8     10 Valparaiso 19-4  
7 Florida 15-7     7 Arizona 18-5  
15 Yale 14-5     15 Stephen F. Austin 15-5  
2 North Carolina 19-3     2 Villanova 19-3  
             
West - Anaheim     South - Louisville  
Des Moines   OKC
1 Iowa 18-4     1 Oklahoma 19-2  
16 North Carolina-Ashville 16-8     16 Bucknell 12-10/Hampton 13-8  
8 Colorado 17-6     8 Wichita State 17-5  
9 Syracuse 16-8     9 Notre Dame 15-7  
Spokane   Denver
5 USC 18-5     5 Dayton 18-3
12 San Diego State 17-6     12 Vanderbilt 13-9/Cincinnati 17-6  
13 California-Irvine 18-6     13 Stony Brook 18-4  
4 Texas 15-7   4 Utah 17-6  
St. Louis   St. Louis
3 Iowa State 16-6     3 Michigan State 19-4  
14 South Dakota State 18-5     14 Belmont 17-7  
6 Providence 18-5     6 Kentucky 16-6  
11 Gonzaga 18-5   11 Florida State 15-7  
Spokane   Raleigh
10 California 14-8     10 Monmouth 19-5
7 Virginia Commonwealth 17-5   7 Baylor 18-5  
15 Weber State 16-6     15 New Mexico State 15-8  
2 Oregon 19-4     2 Virginia 18-4  

Match-ups
Seed East-Philadelphia Midwest - Chicago South - Louisville West - Anaheim
1 Xavier 20-2   Kansas 17-4   Oklahoma 19-2   Iowa 18-4  
16 Fairleigh Dickinson 11-10/Texas Southern 10-11   North Florida 18-7   Bucknell 12-10/Hampton 13-8   North Carolina-Ashville 16-8  
8 Michigan 17-6 Connecticut 16-6   Wichita State 17-5   Colorado 17-6  
9 Washington 15-7 South Carolina 19-3   Notre Dame 15-7   Syracuse 16-8  
12 Chattanooga 20-3   Seton Hall 16-6/LSU 14-8   Vanderbilt 13-9/Cincinnati 17-6   San Diego State 17-6  
5 Duke 16-6   Purdue 19-4   Dayton 18-3 USC 18-5  
13 Arkansas-Little Rock 19-2   Akron 19-4   Stony Brook 18-4   California-Irvine 18-6  
4 Texas A&M 18-4   Miami 18-4   Utah 17-6   Texas 15-7
3 West Virginia 18-4   Maryland 20-3   Michigan State 19-4   Iowa State 16-6  
14 North Carolina-Wilmington 17-5   Alabama-Birmingham 19-4   Belmont 17-7   South Dakota State 18-5  
6 Pittsburgh 17-4   Indiana 19-4 Kentucky 16-6   Providence 18-5  
11 Saint Mary's 18-3   Clemson 14-8   Florida State 15-7   Gonzaga 18-5
10 Oregon State 13-8   Valparaiso 19-4   Monmouth 19-5 California 14-8  
7 Florida 15-7   Arizona 18-5   Baylor 18-5   Virginia Commonwealth 17-5
15 Yale 14-5   Stephen F. Austin 15-5   New Mexico State 15-8   Weber State 16-6  
2 North Carolina 19-3   Villanova 19-3   Virginia 18-4   Oregon 19-4  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

 

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