One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005

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Feel free to scream at me for this bracket before Saturday's big day, but, I spent several hours scrubbing and comparing resumes, and this is what I came up with. I'll put it up against anyone's bracket, because there's now way of knowing if I'm right or not! Watch NFL if you choose, I will check on some, but hoops is heating up, don't say I didn't warn you! Enjoy!

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 01/21/2022 10:19 PM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - Philadelphia  Midwest - Chicago  South - San Antonio West - San Francisco 
1 Baylor 16-2   Auburn 17-1   Arizona 15-1   Gonzaga 15-2  
2 Duke 14-3   Kansas 14-2   Purdue 15-3   UCLA 13-2
3 Kentucky 15-3 Wisconsin 15-3 Texas Tech 14-4   Michigan St 15-3  
4 Ohio St 12-4   Villanova 13-4 Houston 16-2   LSU 15-3
5 Xavier 14-3   Illinois 13-5 Iowa State 14-4 Providence 15-2  
6 BYU 15-4   Connecticut 13-4 USC 15-2 Seton Hall 11-5  
7 Tennessee 12-5   Marquette 12-6 Alabama 12-6 Loyola-Chicago 15-2  
8 Miami 14-4 Davidson 15-2   Colorado St 14-1 West Virginia 13-4
9 Indiana 14-4   Iowa 13-5 Creighton 11-5 San Diego St 10-3  
10 Oklahoma 12-5   San Francisco 15-4   St Mary's 14-4 Texas 13-5
11 TCU 12-3   Oregon 10-6 Wake Forest 15-4 Murray St 16-2  
12 UAB 15-4   Iona 15-3   Texas A&M 15-3/Wyoming 14-2 ↓↑ North Carolina 12-5/Belmont 14-5
13 South Dakota St 16-4   Chattanooga 15-4   New Mexico St 12-3   Toledo 15-4
14 Vermont 11-4 Towson 13-5   Oakland 13-5   Wagner 11-2  
15 Liberty 13-6   Texas St 12-4 Navy 12-5   Princeton 14-3  
16 CS Fullerton 10-5 Southern 9-8/Texas A&M CC 11-4   Norfolk St 12-4/Longwood 10-5   Weber St 13-5  
Last 4 in - Texas A&M, Wyoming, North Carolina, Belmont  
First 4 out - Stanford, Minnesota, Florida St, Kansas St  
Next 4 out - SMU, Boise St, Notre Dame, Florida      
Moving in - Toledo, Wyoming  
Moving out - Ohio, Mississippi St  
Others considered for at-large bids - VCU, Cincinnati, Clemson, Dayton, Monmouth, Louisville, Syracuse, Drake, Arkansas, Rhode Island, Louisiana Tech, Wichita St,  St Bonaventure, Penn St, Rutgers, Santa Clara, St Johns, Washington St, Colorado, Boise St, Maryland, Northwestern, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Richmond, Memphis, Virginia Tech, DePaul, St Louis, Michigan, Ohio,, Virginia, UCF    
On Life Support (but probably dead) - Coming Feb 2022      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Utah St      
Multi bid conferences -  Big 12 (8), Big 10 (7), Big East (7), SEC (7), WCC (4), ACC (4), PAC 12 (4), MWC (3), OVC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total): A10 - Davidson, AAC - Houston, America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Weber St, Big South - Longwood, Big West - CS Fullerton, CAA - Towson, C-USA - UAB, Horizon - Oakland, Ivy League - Princeton, MAAC - Iona, MAC - Toledo, MEAC - Norfolk St., Missouri Valley - Loyola-Chicago, Northeast - Wagner, Patriot - Navy, Southern - Chattanooga, Southland - Texas A&M CC, SWAC - Southern, Summit - South Dakota St, Sun Belt - Texas St, WAC - New Mexico St    
Banned - Oklahoma St  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego, St Thomas      
COVID-19 -       
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Gonzaga 5 17 Iowa St 9 33 Iowa 13 51 Toledo
2 Auburn 18 Providence 34 San Diego St 52 New Mexico St
3 Arizona 19 Xavier 35 Creighton 53 South Dakota St
4 Baylor 20 Illinois 36 Indiana 54 Chattanooga
2 5 Kansas 6 21 USC 10 37 Oklahoma 14 55 Oakland
6 Purdue 22 Connecticut 38 Texas 56 Towson
7 Duke 23 Seton Hall 39 San Francisco 57 Vermont
8 UCLA 24 BYU 40 St Mary's 58 Wagner
3 9 Wisconsin 7 25 Alabama 11 41 Murray St 15 59 Princeton
10 Texas Tech 26 Marquette 42 Oregon 60 Navy
11 Kentucky 27 Tennessee 43 Wake Forest 61 Texas St
12 Michigan St 28 Loyola-Chicago 44 TCU 62 Liberty
4 13 LSU 8 29 Colorado St 12 45 Texas A&M 16 63 Weber St
14 Houston 30 Davidson 46 Wyoming 64 CS Sullerton
15 Ohio St 31 Miami 47 North Carolina 65 Texas A&M CC
16 Villanova 32 West Virginia 48 Belmont 66 Norfolk St
          49 Iona 67 Southern
          50 UAB 68 Longwood
          1st 4 out 1 Stanford Next 4 5 SMU
          2 Minnesota 6 Boise St
          3 Florida St 7 Notre Dame
          4 Kansas St 8 Florida

Bracket

South - San Antonio    Midwest - Chicago 
San Diego   Indianapolis
1 Arizona 15-1     1 Auburn 17-1  
16 Norfolk St 12-4/Longwood 10-5     16 Southern 9-8/Texas A&M CC 11-4  
8 Colorado St 14-1   8 Davidson 15-2  
9 Creighton 11-5   9 Iowa 13-5
Buffalo   Portland
5 Iowa State 14-4   5 Illinois 13-5
12 Texas A&M 15-3/Wyoming 14-2 ↓↑   12 Iona 15-3  
13 New Mexico St 12-3     13 Chattanooga 15-4  
4 Houston 16-2     4 Villanova 13-4
Greenville   Milwaukee
3 Texas Tech 14-4     3 Wisconsin 15-3
14 Oakland 13-5     14 Towson 13-5  
6 USC 15-2   6 Connecticut 13-4
11 Wake Forest 15-4   11 Oregon 10-6
Indianapolis   Ft Worth
10 St Mary's 14-4   10 San Francisco 15-4  
7 Alabama 12-6   7 Marquette 12-6
15 Navy 12-5     15 Texas St 12-4
2 Purdue 15-3     2 Kansas 14-2  
             
East - Philadelphia    West - San Francisco 
Ft Worth   Portland
1 Baylor 16-2     1 Gonzaga 15-2  
16 CS Fullerton 10-5   16 Weber St 13-5  
8 Miami 14-4   8 West Virginia 13-4
9 Indiana 14-4     9 San Diego St 10-3  
Buffalo   Milwaukee
5 Xavier 14-3     5 Providence 15-2  
12 UAB 15-4     12 North Carolina 12-5/Belmont 14-5
13 South Dakota St 16-4     13 Toledo 15-4
4 Ohio St 12-4     4 LSU 15-3
Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
3 Kentucky 15-3   3 Michigan St 15-3  
14 Vermont 11-4   14 Wagner 11-2  
6 BYU 15-4     6 Seton Hall 11-5  
11 TCU 12-3     11 Murray St 16-2  
Greenville   San Diego
10 Oklahoma 12-5     10 Texas 13-5
7 Tennessee 12-5     7 Loyola-Chicago 15-2  
15 Liberty 13-6     15 Princeton 14-3  
2 Duke 14-3     2 UCLA 13-2

Match-ups
Seed East - Philadelphia  Midwest - Chicago  South - San Antonio West - San Francisco 
1 Baylor 16-2   Auburn 17-1   Arizona 15-1   Gonzaga 15-2  
16 CS Fullerton 10-5 Southern 9-8/Texas A&M CC 11-4   Norfolk St 12-4/Longwood 10-5   Weber St 13-5  
8 Miami 14-4 Davidson 15-2   Colorado St 14-1 West Virginia 13-4
9 Indiana 14-4   Iowa 13-5 Creighton 11-5 San Diego St 10-3  
12 UAB 15-4   Iona 15-3   Texas A&M 15-3/Wyoming 14-2 ↓↑ North Carolina 12-5/Belmont 14-5
5 Xavier 14-3   Illinois 13-5 Iowa State 14-4 Providence 15-2  
13 South Dakota St 16-4   Chattanooga 15-4   New Mexico St 12-3   Toledo 15-4
4 Ohio St 12-4   Villanova 13-4 Houston 16-2   LSU 15-3
3 Kentucky 15-3 Wisconsin 15-3 Texas Tech 14-4   Michigan St 15-3  
14 Vermont 11-4 Towson 13-5   Oakland 13-5   Wagner 11-2  
6 BYU 15-4   Connecticut 13-4 USC 15-2 Seton Hall 11-5  
11 TCU 12-3   Oregon 10-6 Wake Forest 15-4 Murray St 16-2  
10 Oklahoma 12-5   San Francisco 15-4   St Mary's 14-4 Texas 13-5
7 Tennessee 12-5   Marquette 12-6 Alabama 12-6 Loyola-Chicago 15-2  
15 Liberty 13-6   Texas St 12-4 Navy 12-5   Princeton 14-3  
2 Duke 14-3   Kansas 14-2   Purdue 15-3   UCLA 13-2

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.



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