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We're almost 3 weeks into the season and there have already been several surprises. On the good side - Baylor, Xavier, Butler, Creighton. On the bad side - Michigan State, UConn, Texas and to a slight degree, Oregon. I've tried to watch as much as I could, I simply love #NovemberMadness, I love the early season match-ups, upsets, etc, just a precursor on what's hopefully to come n March.

This bracket is messy, wrong, my team is too high, yours is too low, or not included, but it's where I think things sort of stand as of today. Still LOTS of hoops left to play, and I expect most of this will be null and void by mid-December. I really think there are several teams in right now that won't be near come March, but this only takes into account games played so far. Anything look way out of whack - let me know.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its Ratings Percentage Index in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 11/30/2016 06:49 PM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - New York Midwest - Kansas City South - Memphis West - San Jose
1 Villanova 7-0   Kansas 6-1   Kentucky 7-0   North Carolina 7-0  
2 Duke 7-1   Xavier 7-0   Baylor 6-0   Gonzaga 6-0  
3 Creighton 7-0   Indiana 4-1   Virginia 6-0   UCLA 7-0  
4 Saint Mary's 5-0   Louisville 5-1   Butler 7-0   Wisconsin 6-2  
5 Oregon 5-2   Iowa State 5-1   Purdue 5-1   Arizona 5-1  
6 South Carolina 6-0   Florida 6-1   West Virginia 5-1   Notre Dame 7-0  
7 Oklahoma 5-1   Ohio State 6-0   Syracuse 4-2   Pittsburgh 6-1  
8 Northern Iowa 3-2   California 4-1   Florida State 6-1   Maryland 7-1  
9 Miami, Fla 4-2   Texas A&M 4-2   Cincinnati 5-1   Rhode Island 5-2  
10 Virginia Tech 5-1   Southern California 6-0   Michigan 5-1   San Diego State 4-1  
11 Colorado 5-1   Valparaiso 7-1   Stanford 6-1   Minnesota 6-1  
12 Northwestern 5-2/TCU 6-0   VCU 6-1/Nebraska 4-2   Mid Tennessee State 6-1   IPFW 5-2  
13 Arkansas State 6-1   Chattanooga 5-2   Monmouth 4-2   Tennessee State 6-1  
14 UNC-Wilmington 5-1   Yale 2-3   Boston 4-2   Akron 5-1  
15 NC Central 4-2   LIU-Brooklyn 5-1   FGCU 4-3   Utah Valley 4-1  
16 TAMU-Corpus Christi 5-0/Winthrop 3-2   Texas Southern 4-2/Eastern Washington 5-2   UC Davis 5-3   Vermont 6-2  
                 
Last 4 in - VCU, Nebraska, Northwestern, TCU  
First 4 out - Michigan State, Temple, Oklahoma State, Dayton  
Others considered for at-large bids (in no particular order) -  Seton Hall, Houston, Memphis, Central Florida, SMU, Connecticut, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Massechusettes, Davidson, Georgia Tech, Texas, Richmond, Wake Forest, North Carolina State, Clemson, Providence, Rutgers, Illinois, Iowa, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Auburn, Arkansas, Georgia, Alabama, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Utah, Marshall, Old Dominion, UAB, Wichita State, Colorado State, Nevada, Utah State, UNLV, Marquette, Rice, Penn State, LSU, Missouri, Washington  
Moving In -   
Moving out  
No longer considered for at-large bid -   
Multi bid conferences - ACC (10), Big 10 (9), PAC 12 (7), Big 12 (6), Big East (4), SEC (4), A10 (2), WCC (2)  
Leaders or highest RPI from projected 1-bid conferences - (24 total):  American Athletic - Cincinnati, America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - FGCU, Big Sky - Eastern Washington, Big South - Winthrop, Big West - UC Davis, CAA - UNC-Wilmington, C-USA - Mid Tennessee State, Horizon - Valparaiso, Ivy - Yale, MAAC - Monmouth, MAC - Akron, MEAC - NC Central, MVC - Northern Iowa, MWC - San Diego State, Northeast - LIU Brooklyn, Ohio Valley - Tennessee State, Patriot - Boston, Southern - Chattanooga, Southland - TAMU-Corpus Christi, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - IPFW, Sun Belt - Arkansas State, WAC - Utah Valley  
Banned from participating - Hawaii, Southern Mississippi, Alcorn State, Savannah State, Northern Colorado  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Abilene Christian (Southland), Grand Canyon (WAC), Incarnate Word (Southland), Massachusetts-Lowell (American East)  
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.
Teams in Black are LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest RPI chosen for now) 
Teams in Red are on the bubble or have work left to do

 


Bracket

East - New York     West - San Jose  
Buffalo   Greenville
1 Villanova 7-0     1 North Carolina 7-0  
16 TAMU-Corpus Christi 5-0/Winthrop 3-2     16 Vermont 6-2  
8 Northern Iowa 3-2     8 Maryland 7-1  
9 Miami, Fla 4-2     9 Rhode Island 5-2  
Salt Lake City   Salt Lake City
5 Oregon 5-2     5 Arizona 5-1  
12 Northwestern 5-2/TCU 6-0     12 IPFW 5-2  
13 Arkansas State 6-1     13 Tennessee State 6-1  
4 Saint Mary's 5-0     4 Wisconsin 6-2  
Milwaukee   Sacramento
3 Creighton 7-0     3 UCLA 7-0  
14 UNC-Wilmington 5-1     14 Akron 5-1  
6 South Carolina 6-0     6 Notre Dame 7-0  
11 Colorado 5-1     11 Minnesota 6-1  
Greenville   Sacramento
10 Virginia Tech 5-1     10 San Diego State 4-1  
7 Oklahoma 5-1     7 Pittsburgh 6-1  
15 NC Central 4-2     15 Utah Valley 4-1  
2 Duke 7-1     2 Gonzaga 6-0  
             
Midwest - Kansas City     South - Memphis  
Tulsa   Indianapolis
1 Kansas 6-1     1 Kentucky 7-0  
16 Texas Southern 4-2/Eastern Washington 5-2     16 UC Davis 5-3  
8 California 4-1     8 Florida State 6-1  
9 Texas A&M 4-2     9 Cincinnati 5-1  
Orlando   Orlando
5 Iowa State 5-1     5 Purdue 5-1  
12 VCU 6-1/Nebraska 4-2     12 Mid Tennessee State 6-1  
13 Chattanooga 5-2     13 Monmouth 4-2  
4 Louisville 5-1     4 Butler 7-0  
Milwaukee   Buffalo
3 Indiana 4-1     3 Virginia 6-0  
14 Yale 2-3     14 Boston 4-2  
6 Florida 6-1     6 West Virginia 5-1  
11 Valparaiso 7-1     11 Stanford 6-1  
Indianapolis   Tulsa
10 Southern California 6-0     10 Michigan 5-1  
7 Ohio State 6-0     7 Syracuse 4-2  
15 LIU-Brooklyn 5-1     15 FGCU 4-3  
2 Xavier 7-0     2 Baylor 6-0  

Match-ups
Seed East - New York Midwest - Kansas City South - Memphis West - San Jose
1 Villanova 7-0   Kansas 6-1   Kentucky 7-0   North Carolina 7-0  
16 TAMU-Corpus Christi 5-0/Winthrop 3-2   Texas Southern 4-2/Eastern Washington 5-2   UC Davis 5-3   Vermont 6-2  
8 Northern Iowa 3-2   California 4-1   Florida State 6-1   Maryland 7-1  
9 Miami, Fla 4-2   Texas A&M 4-2   Cincinnati 5-1   Rhode Island 5-2  
12 Northwestern 5-2/TCU 6-0   VCU 6-1/Nebraska 4-2   Mid Tennessee State 6-1   IPFW 5-2  
5 Oregon 5-2   Iowa State 5-1   Purdue 5-1   Arizona 5-1  
13 Arkansas State 6-1   Chattanooga 5-2   Monmouth 4-2   Tennessee State 6-1  
4 Saint Mary's 5-0   Louisville 5-1   Butler 7-0   Wisconsin 6-2  
3 Creighton 7-0   Indiana 4-1   Virginia 6-0   UCLA 7-0  
14 UNC-Wilmington 5-1   Yale 2-3   Boston 4-2   Akron 5-1  
6 South Carolina 6-0   Florida 6-1   West Virginia 5-1   Notre Dame 7-0  
11 Colorado 5-1   Valparaiso 7-1   Stanford 6-1   Minnesota 6-1  
10 Virginia Tech 5-1   Southern California 6-0   Michigan 5-1   San Diego State 4-1  
7 Oklahoma 5-1   Ohio State 6-0   Syracuse 4-2   Pittsburgh 6-1  
15 NC Central 4-2   LIU-Brooklyn 5-1   FGCU 4-3   Utah Valley 4-1  
2 Duke 7-1   Xavier 7-0   Baylor 6-0   Gonzaga 6-0  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

 

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